I've held off updating my blog for a while, as I've had nothing to report but [seemingly] endless disappointments... and it's a well-known fact that nobody is interested in someone else's bad beat stories! Believe me though, there have been plenty of them.
My only consolation recently, has been the new weekly cash games being played on Genting Poker with the Hendon Mob, and some of the regulars from the Hendon Mob Forum... not that I've covered myself in glory in those either, but I've managed to run even over the past few weeks, and even made a small profit counting spot prizes and bonus dollars!
Anyway, I finally managed to turn around my woeful form this evening. I had been intending to play the Pokerstars world record attempt tournament this evening, but didn't get around to registering until the tournament had capped out. So I logged into a $3.30 H.O.R.S.E. tournament instead. I've played this tournament a few times recently, and haven't performed well. However, things seemed to work well for me this evening, and I quickly established myself in the Top 10. I picked my spots well, and [incredibly] established a reasonably tight image at the table, with opponents actually respecting my raises!
Of course, it helps when you pick-up hands like this one in position!
Going into the final table, I took a massive hit at Limit Omaha Hi/Lo split, going for the scoop and missing both sides. However, I managed to turn this around betting aggressively during the three rounds of Stud games, and worked my way back into contention. To cut a long story short, I found myself in first place out of three, with twice as many chips as the next two players... at this point, I felt the tournament was mine to lose - and I didn't intend to lose this one! The other two players seemed to be playing each other for second place, which was incredibly obliging of them. First place was duly mine - taking down a respectable $68, and getting this tournament programme back into line, after a long and dusty road.
So... I can finally bear to post my results graph - if you imagine it without the last result, you'll see clearly why I didn't want to post it previously!
Sunday, 4 December 2011
Saturday, 19 November 2011
Genting Riverlights Derby Trip
Played in the £110 tournament at the new Genting Riverlights casino in Derby last night...
I drove to Derby, with my brother Wazza, after I'd finished work, and got to the casino about 6 o'clock. I was just wondering how I'd be able to identify any of the posters from The Hendon Mob Forum, when I spotted a conspicuous looking short fella with ginger hair who could only be Jon Sibley (Stowjon). Jon introduced me to some of the other people from the forum, Gary (SeanFoley), Dave (DCSW7), and Phil (DropTheHammer) and some others who's names I can't remember (sorry!). Very confusing (for me!) meeting new people and trying to remember names and aliases! Big LOLZ for the moment when Dave asked me if I had been sitting with anyone from the forum, and I told his "yes, I was sat next to Dave"... "errr, no" he replied, "that's me"!! I also met Joe Beevers and Ross Boatman - both top, friendly, guys and did my best not to go into 'starstruck' mode when shaking their hands (but failed)!
The casino was pretty plush, but the card room was a real squash with ten tables... not great for me, getting up every half hour for a smoke, and having to negotiate an assault course of drinks tables to get out the card room!
The tournament itself kicked off about about 8:15, a little later than planned, but fairly promptly. I was sat with Phil (DropTheHammer) directly on my right, and picked up Ace King on my first hand, made a raise and hit top pair on the flop my flop raise was called by someone who'd made two-pair with King Jack... fortunately a flushing board on the turn made this cheaper for me than it otherwise could have been.
After having resolved to play a nice snug game to let myself get the feel of things, I proceeded to play about 30% of the hands during the first level, and quickly ran my 10K starting stack down to about 4.5K. Fortunately giving so much action, meant I ended up getting paid off nicely when I was dealt pocket kings during the second level, and I was able to work my stack back up to around the starting level by the first break.
I had a big stretch during the second session, where I didn't get any playable hands but managed to hang in around the 10K starting point by picking up a couple of pots here and there that went begging.
My table was one of the first to be broken up, and I was drawn for Table 1. When I sat down the dealer asked me if I'd played at the feature table before (obviously not!) and I tried to hide my surprise as he informed me that it was being streamed live over the internet. I sat down and looked at pocket Kings (again) for my first hand, but only managed to win the blinds, which was a bit disappointing but at least gave me a chance to settle down.
The feature table was boisterous, but friendly. Genting Pro Daiva Barauskaite (Baltic Blonde), was sat at the other side of the table, along with several other players that gave off a collective sense of poker ability. I alternated between smiling and scowling, and generally felt a bit silly! I can only hope my unease wasn't as palpably obvious to my opponents, as it felt to me; but my brother did have to tell me to relax as I smoked a[nother] cigerette and my hands visibly shook!
Then, I made my first divvy move of the evening. The blinds were about 400 / 800 and I was sat on the button, with the short stack in the small blind to my left. The action was folded round to me and I stuck in a couple of thousand and the short stack shoved for another 3.5K. I think I'd just lost my concentration for a second, but holding Queen Three off, I was left in a bit of a damned-if-I-do, damned-if-I-don't sort of spot. It was a stupid position to put myself into, but I made the call thinking I'd probably have two live cards, and that there was a chance my Queen-high could even be good... unfortunately the small blind turned over Queen-Ten and I wasn't able to luckbox my way out of the dominated position I'd put myself in.
This was a low point for me. I'd lost about 40% of my stack on the last hand, and with the blinds soon increasing, I never really had a playable stack from that point onwards - I won several key pots afterwards, but I was always playing catch up. Next pot I played I held Queen King raised pre-flop and continuation-shoved into a low, rainbow, flop. I got an almost-double up shoving Queen Jack and getting called by Daiva's pocket nines (huge relief to me when I realised I had two overcards after the call), and had my 'one time' piece of luck for the evening hitting a queen with the first card out on the flop.
My cards then went dead-as-a-door-nail, and the price of poker went stratospheric. At Level 12, with the blinds at 1,500 / 3,000 and a 300 running ante, I finally had to shove my last 13K in with Ace Eight, only to get called by Gary / Sean Foley with Ace Ten in the Big Blind. An Ace on the flop did me no good, and I was out in 25th place at around 2:30am.
Hugely disappointing to bomb out, but I didn't feel I played too badly (with one exception). I hadn't made a hand above a pair, all night, so it could have been a lot worse than it was! I had a great evening and met some really nice people. Big, BIG, thanks to my brother for all his morale support, and [obviously] a huge thank you to Al (Bogus from the forum) for backing me in this event. Al couldn't make the tournament due to last-minute work commitments, and I'd have really liked to have gotten a little further into the tournament to repay his faith in me (and more importantly the dollar!)
I left the casino around 4am as my brother and I were just about dead on our feet, with a drive back to Nottingham ahead of us.The tournament staff were just setting up the final table and Gary (SeanFoley) from the forum was still in, with plenty of chips to play with (including some of mine!)... as I write this, I still don't know where he finished, so fingers crossed for a big result.
The casino was pretty plush, but the card room was a real squash with ten tables... not great for me, getting up every half hour for a smoke, and having to negotiate an assault course of drinks tables to get out the card room!
The tournament itself kicked off about about 8:15, a little later than planned, but fairly promptly. I was sat with Phil (DropTheHammer) directly on my right, and picked up Ace King on my first hand, made a raise and hit top pair on the flop my flop raise was called by someone who'd made two-pair with King Jack... fortunately a flushing board on the turn made this cheaper for me than it otherwise could have been.
After having resolved to play a nice snug game to let myself get the feel of things, I proceeded to play about 30% of the hands during the first level, and quickly ran my 10K starting stack down to about 4.5K. Fortunately giving so much action, meant I ended up getting paid off nicely when I was dealt pocket kings during the second level, and I was able to work my stack back up to around the starting level by the first break.
I had a big stretch during the second session, where I didn't get any playable hands but managed to hang in around the 10K starting point by picking up a couple of pots here and there that went begging.
My table was one of the first to be broken up, and I was drawn for Table 1. When I sat down the dealer asked me if I'd played at the feature table before (obviously not!) and I tried to hide my surprise as he informed me that it was being streamed live over the internet. I sat down and looked at pocket Kings (again) for my first hand, but only managed to win the blinds, which was a bit disappointing but at least gave me a chance to settle down.
The feature table was boisterous, but friendly. Genting Pro Daiva Barauskaite (Baltic Blonde), was sat at the other side of the table, along with several other players that gave off a collective sense of poker ability. I alternated between smiling and scowling, and generally felt a bit silly! I can only hope my unease wasn't as palpably obvious to my opponents, as it felt to me; but my brother did have to tell me to relax as I smoked a[nother] cigerette and my hands visibly shook!
Then, I made my first divvy move of the evening. The blinds were about 400 / 800 and I was sat on the button, with the short stack in the small blind to my left. The action was folded round to me and I stuck in a couple of thousand and the short stack shoved for another 3.5K. I think I'd just lost my concentration for a second, but holding Queen Three off, I was left in a bit of a damned-if-I-do, damned-if-I-don't sort of spot. It was a stupid position to put myself into, but I made the call thinking I'd probably have two live cards, and that there was a chance my Queen-high could even be good... unfortunately the small blind turned over Queen-Ten and I wasn't able to luckbox my way out of the dominated position I'd put myself in.
This was a low point for me. I'd lost about 40% of my stack on the last hand, and with the blinds soon increasing, I never really had a playable stack from that point onwards - I won several key pots afterwards, but I was always playing catch up. Next pot I played I held Queen King raised pre-flop and continuation-shoved into a low, rainbow, flop. I got an almost-double up shoving Queen Jack and getting called by Daiva's pocket nines (huge relief to me when I realised I had two overcards after the call), and had my 'one time' piece of luck for the evening hitting a queen with the first card out on the flop.
My cards then went dead-as-a-door-nail, and the price of poker went stratospheric. At Level 12, with the blinds at 1,500 / 3,000 and a 300 running ante, I finally had to shove my last 13K in with Ace Eight, only to get called by Gary / Sean Foley with Ace Ten in the Big Blind. An Ace on the flop did me no good, and I was out in 25th place at around 2:30am.
Hugely disappointing to bomb out, but I didn't feel I played too badly (with one exception). I hadn't made a hand above a pair, all night, so it could have been a lot worse than it was! I had a great evening and met some really nice people. Big, BIG, thanks to my brother for all his morale support, and [obviously] a huge thank you to Al (Bogus from the forum) for backing me in this event. Al couldn't make the tournament due to last-minute work commitments, and I'd have really liked to have gotten a little further into the tournament to repay his faith in me (and more importantly the dollar!)
I left the casino around 4am as my brother and I were just about dead on our feet, with a drive back to Nottingham ahead of us.The tournament staff were just setting up the final table and Gary (SeanFoley) from the forum was still in, with plenty of chips to play with (including some of mine!)... as I write this, I still don't know where he finished, so fingers crossed for a big result.
Sunday, 6 November 2011
Halloweek
There's only one way to describe my last week of poker - an absolute nightmare!
So far, I've played eight tournaments as part of my staked tournament programme, and had eight disappointing bust-outs. I've only come close to the money once - in a Stud Hi/Lo tournament, where I went out in 12th with the final table of eight being paid - I'd been riding high in that tournament until close to the end, which just made it sooo much worse to deal with coming away with nothing.
This has got to be the worst, most embarrassing, graph I've ever posted on this blog. I'm only a week into this programme, and I'm starting to wonder what my backers ever saw in me.
So... I've decided to stick with $2.20 to $3.30 buy-in tournaments until my form evens out. At this stage even a min. cash would be a welcome confidence boost!
On the flip side, I don't feel I have played too badly. I've had some bad beats, some unlikely calls, and been dealt a fair amount of crap from the stock - things can't go on like this forever!
So far, I've played eight tournaments as part of my staked tournament programme, and had eight disappointing bust-outs. I've only come close to the money once - in a Stud Hi/Lo tournament, where I went out in 12th with the final table of eight being paid - I'd been riding high in that tournament until close to the end, which just made it sooo much worse to deal with coming away with nothing.
This has got to be the worst, most embarrassing, graph I've ever posted on this blog. I'm only a week into this programme, and I'm starting to wonder what my backers ever saw in me.
So... I've decided to stick with $2.20 to $3.30 buy-in tournaments until my form evens out. At this stage even a min. cash would be a welcome confidence boost!
On the flip side, I don't feel I have played too badly. I've had some bad beats, some unlikely calls, and been dealt a fair amount of crap from the stock - things can't go on like this forever!
Sunday, 30 October 2011
Luck is a horse to ride, like any other
"Sene sovya caba'donde ain dovienya."
I've recently agreed terms, for playing a programme of multi-table tournaments, with two backers, from the Hendon Mob Forum.
I will be playing $3.30 to $11.00 tournaments, concentrating on mixed-games, limit stud variations; and no limit hold 'em tournaments with larger guarantees.
It will mean that Pikey Razz ™ exercise will have to be suspended for the time being, whilst I concentrate on this programme. I'll miss Pikey Razz ™ but it's time to move on!
I've played two tournaments so far - a $3.30 H.O.R.S.E. on Saturday evening, and The Bigger $3.30 [NLHE] early Sunday morning. I didn't run well in either, and I don't think it helped my concentration levels getting up at 5am this morning, only to find out it was actually 4am this morning! At least I got caught up on the latest couple of episodes from the WSOP Main Event on Pokertube whilst I waited!
After a good run of results in recent tournaments, I'm not going to worry too much about two bad results; but I have decided to stick at the $3.30ish tournaments until I have a confident performance in this programme - a nice, steady ITM finish would work for me!
This is the first time that I've been backed to play poker this way, so I'm keen to make a good show of things during my first few weeks of playing... at the end of the day, it's an opportunity to make some extra $$$'s for my bankroll!!
I've recently agreed terms, for playing a programme of multi-table tournaments, with two backers, from the Hendon Mob Forum.
I will be playing $3.30 to $11.00 tournaments, concentrating on mixed-games, limit stud variations; and no limit hold 'em tournaments with larger guarantees.
It will mean that Pikey Razz ™ exercise will have to be suspended for the time being, whilst I concentrate on this programme. I'll miss Pikey Razz ™ but it's time to move on!
I've played two tournaments so far - a $3.30 H.O.R.S.E. on Saturday evening, and The Bigger $3.30 [NLHE] early Sunday morning. I didn't run well in either, and I don't think it helped my concentration levels getting up at 5am this morning, only to find out it was actually 4am this morning! At least I got caught up on the latest couple of episodes from the WSOP Main Event on Pokertube whilst I waited!
After a good run of results in recent tournaments, I'm not going to worry too much about two bad results; but I have decided to stick at the $3.30ish tournaments until I have a confident performance in this programme - a nice, steady ITM finish would work for me!
This is the first time that I've been backed to play poker this way, so I'm keen to make a good show of things during my first few weeks of playing... at the end of the day, it's an opportunity to make some extra $$$'s for my bankroll!!
Saturday, 29 October 2011
Razz Guide Part 3 - Third Street
PLAYING RAZZ POKER
VIABLE OPPONENTS
A viable
opponent, is one showing a playable
door card, that is still active in the hand.
NO VIABLE OPPONENTS
If there
are no viable opponents, you should immediately raise. This will either win you
the antes immediately, or help to build a pot in which you can proceed with a
clear advantage.
SINGLE VIABLE OPPONENT
If there
is only a single viable opponent, you should also raise. This time, as well as attempting
to steal the antes, you are looking to thin the playing-field; forcing unviable
opponents to fold, or to play imperfectly. In this spot, you can either win the
pot immediately, or get the hands heads-up against a single opponent, which
will simplify all of your decisions on later streets. Should your opponents without viable door cards call your
raise, you will be forced to play a multi-way pot (which is bad in Razz, with
only a three-card hand), but at least you will have a clear advantage on most
of your opponents.
UNVIABLE OPPONENTS
When
opponents with unviable door cards play their hands on Third Street , you should assume that they
hold almost perfect cards in the hole (certainly eights or lower – quite
probably two cards to a wheel). Although this will not always be the case, it
is a safe assumption lacking any further information about that player. Whilst
you should always take every
opportunity to learn how your opponents play whenever a showdown occurs; getting
the opportunity to view an opponent’s hole cards after they have proceeded with
an unviable door card, will enable you to accurately classify them as either a
loose player (if their hole cards are
babies), or a simply a weak player (if they are holding a nine-or-higher in the
hole after playing out in this spot).
MULTIPLE VIABLE OPPONENTS
If there
are several viable opponents on Third
Street , your decisions become less simple, and you
will need to consider your position at the table relative to your potential
opponents.
POSITION
When
playing against multiple opponents, your [betting] position on Third Street is
key – in particular, your position relative to the player that Brings-in, and
your position relative to opponents with playable door cards.
Clearly, having position on Third Street will provide you with a
significant advantage that you would not otherwise have. Many potentially-viable
opponents will simply fold due to the weakness of their three-card starting
hand, which may enable you to play heads-up against a single opponent, or fold
a marginal hand in the face of Third
Street aggression. If several opponents continue in the hand, knowing which are
playing, with what door cards, will enable you to make a key decision here – do
you continue in the hand cautiously, or aggressively? With a premium starting
hand, and favorable table conditions, raise to build a pot and place pressure
back on your opponents – many players advocate capping the betting in these
spots, and it certainly forces opponents with less stringent starting
requirements to commit chips unfavorably – building a pot geometrically in
these spots provides a buffer against the inherent variance on Third Street in
Razz. With a marginal starting hand (or a strong starting hand when the table
conditions are unfavorable) you may take a more cautious approach to continuing
in the hand. Having position provides you with the advantage of choosing
whether to fold a non-premium hand if forced to cold-call two bets or more; or
to call a single raise with the intention of considering the texture of the
board on Fourth Street .
Being out of position
on Third Street ,
when facing multiple, viable, opponents is a very tricky spot, and you should
accept that you are quite likely to lose value when playing these positions,
regardless of the strength of your starting hand.
Consider your
potential strength – do you have a premium, or strong, starting hand? Is your
potential strength, relative to your opponents’ up-cards sufficient to
confidently proceed with the hand? Are any of your perfect cards already dead?
If so, you should proceed with more caution; on the other hand, if there are
cards that you already hold that are dead, and your perfect cards are live, you
may proceed with more confidence. Have any opponents called, or raised,
bring-in prior to your turn?
If a single opponent raises,
you may wish to re-raise and make later opponents face cold-calling two raises
on Third Street .
Be careful, as this can be a play of ambiguous value, forcing out opponents
with marginal hands that you would prefer
to play against, and building a pot for opponents with premium hands to play
back into. However, you will invariably increase your odds of winning a pot, by
facing a single, rather than multiple, opponents – even if you also increase
your single opponent’s already-favorable odds at the same time.
STEALING THE ANTES
We have
already discussed how to play a decent starting hand on Third Street , against no viable opponents
– you raise in order to win the pot immediately.
If you don’t have a decent starting hand on Third Street , but do have a decent up-card; there may
still an opportunity to use your apparent
strength to win the pot immediately.
APPARENT STRENGTH
Apparent
strength is based on the up-cards that you have showing; therefore, on Third Street , your
apparent strength is simply the rank of your door-card. In the following
examples, all of the hands have an
apparent strength of 3-high.
Apparent
strength is exerted to steal the antes, when your opponents’ relative strength
is low, and [usually] when you are the first player after the bring-in to make
a non-mucking action.
Identifying
the most appropriate spots for stealing the antes is an essential element of a
winning Razz strategy. Consider the pot odds, looking at two of the most common
betting structures used in Razz:-
1:2:4:8 Betting Structure
8 x
Antes (1) = 8
1 x
Bring-in = 2
Pot = 10
Your Raise
= 4
Pot Odds
10 to 4
= 2.5 to 1
|
2:5:10:20 Betting Structure
8 x
Antes (2) = 16
1 x
Bring-in = 5
Pot = 21
Your Raise
= 10
Pot Odds
21 to 10
= 2.1 to 1
|
At a full
table of eight players, if you are the first player (after the Bring-in) to bet
on Third Street, the pot will be giving you odds of over 2:1 on your raise. This means that you need only be successful
one time in every three attempts, for it to be profitable in the long term.
Those odds assume that successfully stealing the antes on Third Street , is the only way your hand can win the pot; in fact, if a Steal attempt is
not immediately successful, there are stills ways in which your hand may win
the pot (see Fourth Street
– Continuing with a Failed Steal).
Of course,
you would like your steals to be successful more
often than one time in three, and so it is crucial to use your position and
apparent strength subtly, to best manipulate your opponents. If you are in a
later position, all the players between the bring-in and you have folded, and
any players left to act after you are showing tens or above; you will [obviously]
want to raise with a wheel card 100% of the time. With more players left to act
behind you, and a less significant advantage between your apparent strength and
those opponents’ relative strength, your stealing frequency should decrease
commensurately.
There can
be no hard and fast rule about absolute stealing frequency, and you will always
need to temper your attempts to the table you are playing at – increasing the
frequency when playing into tight opponents, and decreasing the frequency when
playing into looser opponents. Try to steal sufficiently often that your
opponents are tempted to incorrectly call your value raises on Third Street ; yet
infrequently enough that your steals maintain a healthy profit over the course
of a session.
DEFENDING THE BRING-IN
When is it
correct to defend your bring-in against a possible ante steal?
If you are
only required to complete your bring-in to a single small bet; are facing no
more than two opponents; have two wheel cards in the hole (preferably including
an Ace); and the number of exposed wheel cards that do not match those in your hand, does not exceed the number that do match.
These are
fairly strict requirements. Against a single opponent that you have observed
opening light, or routinely stealing the antes; it is correct to loosen these a
little – playing hole cards that include a six or a seven, for example; or defending
if there is a small net reduction in your modulated strength.
Consider
the pot odds, looking at two of the most common betting structures used in Razz.
Against a single opponent:-
1:2:4:8 Betting Structure
8 x
Antes (1) = 8
Your
bring-in = 2
First
Raise = 4
Pot = 14
Your
call = 2
Pot Odds
14 to 2
= 7 to 1
|
2:5:10:20 Betting Structure
8 x
Antes (2) = 16
Your
bring-in = 5
First
Raise = 10
Pot = 31
Your call
= 5
Pot Odds
31 to 5
= 6.2 to 1
|
Against a
single opponent, you will be getting between 6 and 7 to 1 to complete your
bring-in. Against two opponents, you would be getting between 8 and 9 to 1 to
complete your bring-in. Defending
your bring-in against three or more opponents, is generally incorrect, as the
likelihood of at least one opponent catching perfect, or apparently perfect, cards is too great to countenance continuing
with a two-card starting hand.
If you are
holding A-2-K, your odds of improving to an 8-high or better by the river are
4.1 to 1. These are certainly enough, given the pot odds offered, to justify
taking a card on Fourth Street, and seeing if you can catch an eight or lower
that doesn’t pair your hand.
WHEN THE BRING-IN COMPLETES OR RAISES
When the
bring-in makes a full small bet amount, or raises a bet from another player;
you should assume that they hold almost perfect cards in the hole, generally
A-2, or an Ace with another Wheel Card.
When the
bring-in completes their bet, you should assume that they hold two wheel cards
in the hole or, if they are a loose player, two cards seven or lower.
These
generalisations will not always be correct and, as with any poker heuristics,
you should observe your opponents, and refine future decisions accordingly.
However, beginning with these assumptions should enable you to play correctly
against an unknown opponent in this situation.
READING THE BOARD ON THIRD STREET
It is important to consider the
board fully on Third Street, from the moment the cards are dealt, to the last
betting action; and use all the available information to develop a coherent
picture of where you stand in relation to your opponents.
Keep
track of all the exposed low cards, and consider how these relate to your hand,
and those of your opponents
If cards in your hand were dealt as
door cards on Third Street ,
were they dealt to players that have mucked, or players that are continuing in
the hand? Your advantage will be shared with your opponent, if they also
continue in the hand. It’s also useful to keep track of all matching [low] door
cards, as these will confer an advantage on your opponents’, if they play their
hands.
Is
your hand strong relative to your opponents' and, if so, will your opponents be
able to discern this clearly?
Remember, with a strong relative
hand, you are unambiguously ahead on Third Street and
should raise to take the pot, or force your opponents to call incorrectly.
Do
you hold a premium starting hand, or a strong starting hand with a smooth
kicker?
Premium starting hands, and strong
starting hands with smooth kickers, will draw to optimum hands, and will have the
best redraws, if they make less optimum hands on Fifth or Sixth Street . Consider the following
examples:-
On Third Street, both Hero and
Villain, hold 8-highs with an Ace in the hole – both catch a 3 on Fourth Street
and a 4 on Fifth Street – giving both players a made 8-high with two cards to
go. If Hero catches perfectly on the Turn or River a 5 would make a Wheel; but
if Villain catches perfectly, their 2 will only make a Seven-Four; If Hero
catches their second best redraw, a 6 would make a Six-high; but if Villain
catches their second best redraw, a 5 would make a Seven-Five. Finally, if Hero
catches their worst redraw, a 7 would make a Seven-Four; if Villain catches
their worst redraw, a 6 would make a rough Seven.
Use
Apparent Strength to overcome Relative Weakness
Look for opportunities to
[correctly] steal the antes. Use Third
Street position and apparent strength to force opponents out of the hand, or to put
them onto the defensive during Fourth
Street .
Think
about future position
Consider what position you are
likely to hold on later streets if you catch a good card, or if you don’t - begin
to plan how you will respond in both situations.
Think
about betting actions in the context of the board
Has an opponent indicated the
strength of their hole cards by defending their bring-in, or continuing despite
a clearly weak door card? Likewise, has an opponent indicated a possible steal
attempt by open-raising the bring-in with a premium door card?
Continue
to RE-Evaluate
Make sure that you continue to
consider these factors, as hands develop - in particular, when opponents
subsequently show down. Use every opportunity to develop your understanding of
how your opponents are playing on Third
Street .
PROBABILITIES ON THIRD STREET
Final Hand strength when holding:-
|
Probability
|
Odds
|
Wheel (5-high)
|
7.15%
|
13.0 to 1
|
6high, or better
|
18.95%
|
4.28 to 1
|
7-high, or better
|
33.25%
|
2.01 to 1
|
8-high, or better
|
48.27%
|
1.07 to 1
|
Final Hand strength when holding:-
|
Probability
|
Odds
|
Wheel (5-high)
|
1.25%
|
78.8 to 1
|
6high, or better
|
4.85%
|
20.5 to 1
|
7-high, or better
|
10.73%
|
8.33 to 1
|
8-high, or better
|
19.63%
|
4.09 to 1
|
Final Hand strength when holding:-
|
Probability
|
Odds
|
Wheel (5-high)
|
0.12%
|
827 to 1
|
6high, or better
|
0.60%
|
165 to 1
|
7-high, or better
|
1.81%
|
54.2 to 1
|
8-high, or better
|
4.23%
|
22.6 to 1
|
Anguish / Happiness Later
I've had a good run of results recently.
After Tuesday nights league game, I didn't get to play poker on Wednesday, and it looked like another night without poker on Thursday... but I couldn't settle, so I got up and decided to 'have a look' at the $2.20 Triple Stud tournament I knew would be starting.
Five minutes later, I'm registered for the tournament - settled on the sofa with a glass of milk and a rolly - perfect!
These triple stud tournaments are pretty quick-fire, switching formats between Stud, Razz and Stud Hi/Lo every two minutes, and increasing the betting levels every six minutes after a full run-through of the formats.
I got off to a decent start but had a set-back in a Stud Hi/Lo hand, where I started with an Ace and a small pair in the hand, tried to steal the antes and got caught calling bets with the second-best hand in both directions.
I get myself a cookie, which seems to help. Now I'm playing really well and quickly build my stack to establish myself around the top three spots. We start to lose players, and gradually drop from five tables to two. I'm now in the chip lead and playing confidently, when a hand came up that really kicked me in the ass. I think the Villain in this hand didn't catch the change to Razz and thought he was playing Stud Hi. I keet betting, thinking that he will realise his mistake and fold the hand. In the end, there was so much money in the pot, I stuck him all in and hoped he had started with a pair higher than mine, or caught one:-
Seat 1: Villain 2215 in chips
Seat 2: 3782 in chips
Seat 3: Ulysses1975 (6323 in chips)
Seat 4: 6447 in chips
Seat 5: 1414 in chips
Seat 6: 3668
Seat 7: 2249
All players post the ante 30
Pot 210
Pot 210
*** 3rd STREET ***
Villain: x x K bets 150
Seat2: x x 5 fold
Ulysses1975: (5 3) 5 raises 150 to 300
Seat4: x x T fold
Seat5: x x K fold
Seat6: x x 6 fold
Seat7: x x 5 calls 300
Villain: x x K raises 150 to 450
Ulysses1975: (5 3) 5 calls 150
Seat7: x x 5 calls 300
Pot 1,560
Pot 1,560
*** 4th STREET ***
Ulysses1975: (5 3) 5 7 bets 150
Seat7: x x 5 K folds
Villain: x x K T raises 150 to 300
Dealt to Ulysses1975: (5 3) 5 7 raises 150 to 450
Villain: x x K T raises 150 to 600
Betting is capped
Dealt to Ulysses1975: (5 3) 5 7 calls 600
Pot 2,760
Pot 2,760
*** 5th STREET ***
Ulysses1975: (5 3) 5 7 3 bets 300
Villain: x x K T 6 calls 300
Pot 3,360
Pot 3,360
*** 6th STREET ***
Villain: x x K T 6 Q bets 300
Ulysses1975: (5 3) 5 7 3 7 calls 300
Pot 3,960
Pot 3,960
*** RIVER ***
Villain: x x x K T 6 Q bets 300
Ulysses1975: (5 3 2) 5 7 3 7 raises 300 to 600
Villain: x x x K T 6 Q calls 235 and is all-in
Uncalled bet of 65 returned to Ulysses1975
Pot 5,030
Pot 5,030
*** SHOW DOWN ***
Ulysses1975: shows Lo: 3,3,7,5,2
Villain: shows Lo: K,Q,J,T,6
Villain collected 5,030 from pot
Fortunately, I still had a decent stack to work with, and was able to negotiate myself through the final table and get heads-up. Heads up is usually straightforward in Stud games, and this section of the game went quickly and smoothly for me - quickly and smoothly downhill, that is!
After leading the tournament for a long time, second place felt a little disappointing but was a nice boost to my fledgling bankroll, even so.
Wednesday, 26 October 2011
Happy Post!
THMF League VIII
I played my second Hendon Mob Forum
League match last night and finished in fourth place again, making back-to-back
final tables! That's how it finished, but it started like this...
Armed with a crate of cheap lager, I
quickly established an [over-] confident rhythm at my first table. Everything
seemed to be going perfectly, until I decided to float jack-high on a king-high
flop (a move that was retarded in so many ways) and hit jacks on the turn. I
responded maturely to this setback by raise-folding off another sizable chunk
of my stack two hands later. So there I was – twenty minutes in, down to 675
chips, and looking very unlikely to make the first break… it all seemed awfully
familiar! Fortunately, at this point, I was moved to another table, and decided
to take five minutes out for a smoke.
I came back to the table, and hit a
very nice run of cards just when I needed them (a set of Aces and quad-Kings is
difficult for anyone to go wrong with); and then, before I knew it, it was 9
o’clock and time for the first break. At this point (for some reason), my friend decided to sabotage the whole game, with
what can only be likened to a Camberwell Carrot. My Hold ‘em hands started to
look like Omaha
hands –all of them double paired and soft-focus.
Rooting for Short Guy
I got a bit distracted during the
second session, so it seems like a good point to mention my new favourite
pastime on Genting Poker - rooting for Short
Guy. You know Short Guy – he doesn’t have much to say for himself (it just
seems to add gravity to his game) and he has the ‘Sat Out’ avatar. Short Guy
was playing outside the box, and was happy to fold premium hands to min-raises
out of position. At one point, Short Guy was down to 10 chips and all-in on the
blind… five hands later Short Guy had over 300 chips. He tabled 5To to make
two-pair; and was even given a walk on his next blind! Short Guy was outplaying
us all.
Pikey Stakes Razz
At some point last night, somebody asked
me if I was still playing ‘Pikey stakes
Razz’ (I am, although I hadn’t realised it until then!) It feels good to be
known for something – everyone needs
a speciality! Keeping to the spirit of my new-found focus, I’m setting myself
the highly-aspirational target of moving up to Doley-stakes Razz ™ before the
end of November… it won’t be long before I’m having a nosebleed!
Monday, 24 October 2011
Progress Update
Razz Progress
I managed to load up a couple of tables
of Razz on Sunday, and finished nicely up (for the little time spent). I’m
fairly certain there are a couple of Russians in my stakes that do not even understand
the basic premise of lowball poker… no glass-tapping from me though, just
plenty of leering greedily in!
These days, I spend more time [at work
lol] analysing my results, than I ever do playing… I have an Excel spreadsheet
for everything, and get to enjoy re-agonising over Razz-beats that defy belief.
A-2-3-4 on fourth street making Queen-high on the River was painful enough when
I was actually playing the hand… knowing that I was over 70% to make an
Eight-high or better, and that an Eight-Four would have won just rubs the salt
in!
At least I haven’t gotten distracted
playing other games with my embryonic Pokerstars BR this week. Progress has
been slow, but steady, and if I can keep my current daily win rate up, I should
be moving up to the next level ($0.10 / $0.20 lol!) before the end of November.
I’ve played on those tables a couple of times since I re-started (chasing
losses, obviously), and the standard doesn’t seem to be any higher.
It seems like a good point to discuss
my Bankroll Management for this exercise. I’m buying in for 20 Big Bets, and am
looking to have 10 buy-ins available for a level before I move up. I’m playing
fairly steady Razz at the moment, so my variance is pretty low and that seems
more than reasonable. If I was losing, I’d continue playing at the new level
until I reached 10 buy-ins for the previous level, and then switch back (obviously
that’s something I’m hoping I won’t need to do)!
Stakes
|
Buy-in
|
BR to Start Level
|
BR to Drop Level
|
$0.04 / $0.08
|
$1.60
|
$16
|
N/A!!
|
$0.10 / $0.20
|
$4.00
|
$40
|
$16
|
$0.25 / $0.50
|
$10
|
$100
|
$40
|
$0.50 / $1.00
|
$20
|
$200
|
$100
|
$1 / $2
|
$40
|
$400
|
$200
|
That’s clearly thinking a long time
ahead – especially coming from someone with as little long-term discipline as
myself… but a plan is a plan – ideally I’ll be playing $1 / $2 before this time
next year… and I’ll happily eat my own sofa if that ever happens!
Progress to date is as show below – I’m
now tracking only Razz games, and this graph shows overall daily progress:-
Pub Poker
I’ve just started to play a poker game
every Monday in one of the local pubs (not my
local I can assure you!). I’m not saying this pub has sawdust on the floor, but
I do have a suspicion that’s a
money-saving exercise. It’s a £5 buy-in, with one £5 rebuy available before ten
o’clock and you get 1,000 extra chips if you buy 3 pints. It’s a lively game,
that’s for sure - on my first evening there, I quickly got a feel for the
‘friendly banter’ so after getting it all in with top two pair and filling-up
on the river, I unwittingly levelled a cutting “you were behind when you called
anyway” at what turned out to be the Landlord… bit of an ‘American Werewolf’
moment, I can tell you!
There are a myriad of slightly
embarrassing house rules (I particularly detest the 200 chips from all players
if you show 72o as the winning hand), but all-in-all it was a good fun game,
and I’m looking forward to playing again tonight.
THMF League VIII
Then tomorrow is the next Hendon Mob Forum League game –
we’re playing 6-Max No Limit Hold ‘em this week. I’d like to think that I’d
laid down the standard for my performance last week (4th place), but
lets face it – I tend to play horrendously over-aggressively when I play 6-Max
Hold ‘em tournaments – it can work
fine, until I try to push someone off the nuts! I can’t just nit-up to
compensate (it is 6-Max after all) so
I’m going to try a different strategy – picking my spots for frivolous
manoeuvres (they are going to
happen), and choosing playing hands carefully. That is the plan , but Tuesday night is
drinking night! Maybe the plan will survive the first shuffle, but I’ll eat my
own sofa [again] if it does!
Finally, I’ve got something to really look forward to in November.
Genting Casinos are opening a new club in Derby ,
and there’s a £100 + £10 poker tournament with £5,000 added as part of the
launch. Because of the Mob’s recent affiliation with Genting poker, there were 25 seats put
aside for members of the forum, and Joe Beevers and Barny Boatman are playing
with £250 bounties on their heads.
I was offered the chance to play this
tournament, with backing from one of the forum regulars (Bogus), and I
certainly didn’t need asking twice! Bogus last featured in this blog after
relieving me of a doubled-up buy-in at Pot Limit Omaha!! This is the first time
I’ve ever played with this type of backing, but it can only be a good factor in
my tournament play. As I frequently mention, I’m terrible for getting bored and
making ridiculous moves at the poker table… some of them go way over the edge
into retarded territory!
BUT. THIS. WILL. NOT. BE. HAPPENING.
IN. DERBY !
It would be fantastic to return a
healthy profit to my backer and, at the very least, I want to ensure that I
play good, tight-aggressive, poker that I can recount without fear of reproach.
It’s going to be a bloody refreshing experience, I can tell you!
My brother is coming along as my rail,
and there looks to be a good crew attending from the forum. All-in-all it looks
set to be a fantastic evening!
Subscribe to:
Posts (Atom)